Category Archives: Start-up data

Twitter discloses numbers through SEC filing

Twitter finally published its S-1 document. In 2011, I had tried to make a tentative assessment in my post, If Twitter was going public, some far-fetched assumptions.

You can compare the cap. table below to the one in the post (click on the picture to enlarge image). Of course there were missing data and there are still some today. The investors shares are not described in detail. I do not have the shares of one of the founders, Biz Stone, but only those of Jack Dorsey and Evan Williams. I plan to update info when I have more. (A small detail: series A was probably $100k and not $76k for example.) Enjoy and react!

twitter-captable-2013
click on picture to enlarge

Criteo files to go public

The latest French success story, Criteo, just filed to go public on Nasdaq. You can find all the details in the SEC F-1 document. I had tried to build Criteo’s cap. table, one of my favorite exercises, in What’s Criteo worth?

Criteo-Founders

I was not too far from the truth. The numbers are different because there was a 2-for-5 stock split and probably other little things, I consider minor. You will see my cap. table again at the end (figure 3), but first here are Criteo’s impressive numbers (profit & loss – figure 1) as well as the current shareholder structure (figure2):

Criteo-P&L
Figure 1 – Criteo’s P&L – click on picture to enlarge

Criteo-Owners
Figure 2 – Criteo’s main shareholders – click on picture to enlarge

Criteo-CapTable
Figure 3- Criteo’s “old” cap. table – click on picture to enlarge

What’s a start-up? (part 3)

My colleague Jean-Philippe Solvay recently asked me to a react to a Facebook post asking what is exactly a start-up. And as you may read there, it is not so easy to answer. One of the best references given in the post is swombat.com rather exhaustive analysis.

In the past, I wrote two posts: “part 1” was in 2011, where I had given my definition: “A start-up is a company which is born out of an idea and has the potential to become a large company” as well as the very good definition by Steve Blank: “startups are temporary organizations designed to search for a scalable and repeatable business model.” (There is something I am not comfortable with Steve Blank’s: I would delete “model”, as a start-up may know what it wants to do, but has not validated it yet. And start-ups copying existing business models would not be ones…)

Then in “part 2” in early 2013, I added the following: “A start-up is a corporation which explores, which is looking for a business model, a market, customers and is trying to innovate. It usually looks for a big market (“scalable”) and therefore service businesses do not qualify (except on the web) as they do not often scale. It is also a matter of strong and rapid growth in emerging markets because the competition is tough and there will be few winners. It often go fast. That is why it is more about a mindset: you are curious, in an uncertain world, trying to bring new things to the world. Because you are looking for a business, you do not have enough paying customers, and you will most likely need external capital (business angels, venture capital) except if your future customers accept to pay a lot in advance. This is why there is a strong correlation between being a start-up and having investors.”

I agree with most features given in the facebook or swombat contributions: “start-ups are new firms focusing on innovation and growth in situations of high uncertainty (or risk)”. They do not have to be about technology and if so, they are called high-tech start-ups. Maybe innovation is not so important, as many just copy others, but growth (through scalability) is critical. Consulting or service firms usually do not qualify because the growth is linear, not exponential (with the number of jobs).

Let me add another point: if the start-up term, was created, there has to be a good reason! When was it created? Wikipedia claims it became popular with the dot.com bubble of the late nineties. However, I found the term in Saxenian’s Regional Advantage (1994) and even in Silicon Valley Fever (1984). There is no doubt the term emerged with the technology clusters Route 128 and Silicon valley, the reason why it is associated with high-tech as well as venture capital. But not all start-ups belong to these geographic clusters. Microsoft and Amazon are based in Seattle, which is (at least was) not really a cluster. When they do not belong to a geographic cluster, they belong to a technology cluster, mostly IT (electronics, software, internet) or biotech/medtech. Tesla Motors is considered a start-up because it belongs to the Silicon Valley ecosystem though it is in an industry where very few start-ups exist. I do not think EasyJet was ever called a start-up because it belongs to no (technology or geographic) clsuter. So I would finally define a start-up as “a new firm focusing on growth in situations of high uncertainty, and belonging to a technology or geographic cluster”.

PS: while looking into the topic again, I found a debate on how to spell the word… In 2007, I had decided for “start-up”, but “start up” and “startup” also existed. It seems “startup” is now more and more popular. I stick to “start-up” for the time being, just to be consistent with what I always did.

Slicing Pie – Part 3 (or How Startup Funding Works)

A colleague of mine at EPFL just mentioned a new nice infographics about sharing equity in a start-up: How Startup Funding Works. It has apparently its roots with famous entrepreneur Paul Graham. It could be indeed based on his essay written in 2005. Nice piece of vizualizing. Thanks Sanna 🙂

So following many posts about equity splitting including the one about the nice book Slicing the Pie, here is the visual solution.

how-startup-funding-works_51db987f390b4

Neolane, the latest French success story

France is often criticized for its apparent weakness in entrepreneurship and of its start-ups, but it is clear that the reality is not as negative as the perception; Kelkoo in the past, Criteo probably in a few months as well Deezer. And last week Neolane. I hear the critics say: “Yes, but this is the web.” It would mean you forget Parrot, Soitec, Envivio, Sequans Ymagis, Qualys, Inside… France is quite impressive (at the European level) for its start-up scene.

Neolane is the story of three friends who met at Centrale (one of the top French engineering schools). They co-founded a first start-up just out of school, which they sold before the Internet was really born. They launched a new one, Neolane, in 2001, with the support of Auriga Partners in 2002. Neolane raised more than €15M before being acquired last week by Adobe for €460M. It should not be very far from the largest M&A value of a French start-up. Again the acquirer is from the USA, as it is mostly the case with start-up acquisitions. Let us hope the jobs will not disappear, but it is certainly good news for France and Europe to enjoy such success. And sincere congratulations to my friends at Auriga Partners (I am not sure if they will appreciate or not this article…) Comments welcome!

neolane-founders
The founders of Neolane. From left to right, Benoît Gourdon, (Director of Operations for Europe), Stephen Dietrich (President of North America), Stephane Dehoche (CEO) and Thomas Boudalier (CTO).

As you can imagine if you know my blog, I had to build the capitalization table. I decided to focus here on the VC returns, i.e. both multiples on the investments and IRR. This is an interesting exercise as they were many rounds including partial sales. I have always been confused by the difference between multiples and IRRs. Multiples are what matters but IRRs also count as a relative measure of return (if compares with other assets).

neolane-vc-returns

NB: all data come from French register of commerce. Some numbers were missing so it is a best effort exercise and it was not the easiest I had to do…

neolane-captable2

Tumblr acquisition and shareholding

Tumblr made the news these past days, and some discussions about how much the investors, founder and employees made were quite passionate as you may read from Fred Wilson reactions. We may discuss a long time about why Yahoo bought a 26-year old kid company, as could be done with Instagram (see my pots from April 2012), but the point is that there’s been a continuous flow of such stories for decades in Silicon Valley.

david-karp-tumblr
26-year old David Karp, founder & CEO of Tumblr.

Indeed I added to my usual cap. tables some numbers on multiple returns and ROIs (return on investment). I do not have exactly the same “huge” numbers that were at the origin of the angry exchanges, but I might be wrong… Now there were two different pieces of info, so I put two cap. tables which are not that different. One gives investor data per round, the other one per specific fund.

Tumblr-CapTable1
Click on picture to enlarge.

Tumblr-CapTable2
Click on picture to enlarge.

Stanford Impact via Entrepreneurship

My friend Jean-Jacques reminded me about this new study about entrepreneurship at Stanford University. Charles Eesley (who is also the co-author of the study on MIT impact) and William Miller have published it last October after surveying thousands of Stanford alumni. I was a little disappointed by the findings, but it might because I am biased (I work on the topic too, check my previous post on Stanford entrepreneurs) and also because I preferred the MIT study. But there is so much to say and analyze about Stanford! There are still very interesting data (see figures below), and it begins with the executive summary:

“The report […] estimates that 39,900 active companies can trace their roots to Stanford. If these companies collectively formed an independent nation, its estimated economy would be the world’s 10th largest. Extrapolating from survey results, those companies have created an estimated 5.4 million jobs and generate annual world revenues of $2.7 trillion.” [Page 6]

I also liked very much the small paragraph on risk-raking [Page 27]: When we asked Bechtolsheim whether taking on risks was part of the reason for his successes, he instead offered: “Risk is the wrong word. To me, Sun was a zero-risk startup because I knew there was a large market opportunity for this product. It was just about getting it out the door and selling it. Quite frankly, good startups don’t take on a lot of risk. They focus on making the right technology choices and product investments to go after significant market opportunitites. If you build the right product at the right time for the right market, success is much more predictable. That’s true even today.”

Now the figures I noticed, but there are many more: the initial capital raised by start-ups is high. It is consistent with my data on 190 public companies. The average value is $7.2M overall in my study and the median $3.0M (all fields included; the figures become $6.4M and $2.7M without biotech).

Eesley-Average-Initial-Round

It is no news that many founders are immigrants. Here is a new illustration

Eesley-NonUS-founders

Finally there is an interesting trend about how many years after graduation, alumni become entrepreneurs.

Eesley-Years-Aft-Grad

What’s Criteo worth?

Criteo is the latest European story. Not yet, some may say, but its numbers are impressive. How do I know? Well in France the Register of Commerce provides a lot of data if you are prepared to pay a small fee (about €10 per document you download). It is possible to know about the rounds of financing, about the revenues, about the founders. It was not as easy as I imagined and maybe I should have bought more documents. (The revenues are not what I had read, stockholders’ shares is probably not accurate as things may be missing. But it looks good enough to me.)

I also know people involved do not always like such publications. Wealth, money is still a taboo, in France particularly. What is important is the message of value creation that entrepreneurs and their investors contribute to create for others. As I copied from the Slicing Pie recently: “Entrepreneurs give security to other people; they are the generators of social welfare. The country needs entrepreneurs, the world needs entrepreneurs. Without them not much would happen. In spite of the exciting life and important role of entrepreneurs, most people never become entrepreneurs. To most people, life is too risky. Most people can’t handle the ambiguity. Most people are afraid of failure. Every entrepreneur fails more often than they succeed.”

So I publish here again, one of my favorite tools, the capitalization table of Criteo with its rounds of financing (€47M raised), its revenues (at least €74M in 2011), its investors and its founders. But the wealth is virtual, it corresponds to a €15 price per share, more than 3 times the price paid by the series D investors…

I do not think Criteo’s journey was easy and simple. When I first heard of the company, it was developing recommendation systems, not ‘personalized retargeting’. It had Plan B related Pivot. So here it is and my apologies for inaccuracies / frustrations.

Criteo-CapTable

Here are some more references.
Criteo Nabs $40 Million in Funding at $800 Million Valuation
Criteo Hires Bank for Imminent IPO

This last article mentions the IPO of Marin, which I had followed too. The comparison is interesting…

Marin-CapTable

Slicing Pie (how to fairly split equity) – Part 2

Following my recent post (part 1), here is what I keep from the book without giving all details. Moyer probably needs to sell a few copies!

slicing-pie-funding-your-company-without-funds-mike-moyer-paperback-cover-art

Moyer introduces the Grunt Fund as a mechanism to allocate equity between founders. He is using the classical metrics I have used in the past (again see Equity Splits in Start-ups) but he adds one interesting point: a dynamic allocation based on future contributions such as time and cash, weighted with your value (reputation, experience, etc). His process is simple:
– Appoint a Leader
– Assign a theoretical value to the ingredients provided by the various Grunts.
– Keep track of the contributions and calculate the possible equity whenever you need based on the relative contributions by each Grunt.

A Grunt Fund makes some people uneasy. They like to know what they’re getting into and they like the I’s dotted and the T’s crossed. That’s fine. If this is you, then don’t use a Grunt Fund – get a job instead. [Page 50] Then be careful about who and what you need. It’s up to you to decide what you need, but be fair!

Moyer mentions on the following page Noam Wasserman’s The Founder’s Dilemma (which I have not read) as a theoritical validation of his approach.

Without entering too much detail, Moyer gives value to time (2x what would a normal salary be) and cash (4x the actual amount). This is subjective. The critical element is that all Grunts agree with the rules. It can change from one company to the other… “Remember, you need to compensate them for not only the work they did, but also for the risk they take.” [Page 64]

When it comes to ideas or intellectual property, Moyer has principles I am quite close to: “Don’t get me wrong, ideas are critical to a business’ success. But turning the idea into a reality is where the value is built, not in coming up with the idea in the first place.” [Page 82]

Sometimes you will need to remove someone. There are 3 possibilities:
– he/she resigns without cause. You need to reduce his slice;
– you terminate him/her without cause. The slice should be kept;
– you terminate with cause. He/she may lose the slice.
[Chapter 5 + Pages 141-145]

The Grunt Fund is for the early days only. When do you stop using it? When you have a predictable business model, or when you have raised $1M. [Page 114]

As a conclusion (and Moyer mentions it many times), “a Grunt Fund is a moral contract, not a legal contract. It tells us how to treat each other fairly. […] A Grunt Fund is the foundation of a trusting relationship.” [Pages 121-122]

Slicing Pie (how to fairly split equity) – Part 1

An EPFL entrepreneur had contacted me about equity split between founders, employees and investors in a start-up. I mentioned my experience and related blog post on the topic: Equity Splits in Start-ups. Then he came back to me with a book he advised me to read. I am half way through it and it has interesting (and new to me) lessons. So thanks Justin 🙂

The book is entitled Slicing Pie, and subtitled Funding Your Company Without Funds.

slicing-pie-funding-your-company-without-funds-mike-moyer-paperback-cover-art

I will probably go back when I am finished with this book, but already, here are some examples of what I liked:

The Gap

Somewhere between the inception of your earth-changing idea and the investor presentation to Andreessen Horowitz there is a gap. During that gap, you are expected to have actually built something that resembles a business enough that the gentle and kind venture capitalist will decide that you have your act together and write you a fact check. I call it “the Gap” because it’s during this time that you either fill the gap with behaviors that create a business or let is consume you and your wonderful idea. Most fledging businesses experience the latter.
The days of back-of-the-envelope deals are over. (In fact, they may never have actually existed.) Few investors are willing to provide capital to a company that is little more than a rough idea.
Nowadays, you need to have something worth investing in which often means a management team, a business plan, and, if you’re smart, a working prototype. For bonus points get a few beta customers who are actually paying you. Now you have something worth discussing. [page 2]

The need for Entrepreneurs

“Entrepreneurs give security to other people; they are the generators of social welfare.” The country needs entrepreneurs, the world needs entrepreneurs. Without them not much would happen.
In spite of the exciting life and important role of entrepreneurs, most people never become entrepreneurs. To most people, life is too risky. Most people can’t handle the ambiguity. Most people are afraid of failure. Every entrepreneur fails more often than they succeed. [pages 9-10]

Good and Bad Lessons

Failure is how an entrepreneur learns. Good lessons improve an entrepreneur chances for future success. If you created a product that nobody wants, if your employee leaves you, if a competitor comes out, if your marketing did not work, if you run out of money, you will learn.
Being an entrepreneur requires a lot of trust and confidence.
But if they get burnt by partners, they learn bad lessons. They spend more time covering their own butts. They learn to move more slowly and take fewer risks. They learn to be less like entrepreneurs and more like everyone else. [pages 10-11]

Grunts

Grunts are people who are willing to forgo cash compensation in exchange for a piece of the pie. Grunts do the work necessary to turn an idea into a reality. They will do the fun work and the dirty work. They are as comfortable licking stamps as they are building a strategic plan. [page 28] (I love grunts probably because in some aspects I am one, even if not an entrepreneur!)

As a conclusion to his first chapter, author Mike Moyer claims that an entrepreneur needs a method for slicing the pie that is easy to understand and
– rewards participants for the relative value they provide,
– provides motivation for them to continue to provide more ingredients,
– allows founders to fairly add or subtract participants to or from the company,
– is flexible in the face of rapid change.

More in part 2!